Too often?

end3r posted this 16 September 2015

Are turns and rivers hitting the underdog too often?

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woodm25 posted this 17 September 2015

it seems to run in cycles imo. I play mostly sng's and when I get hit by about 3 gross beats in a row I call it a night because it will go on all night like that.

SprinklePony posted this 19 September 2015

Could someone from just explain how the deck is randomized? Do you use an algorythm/RNG, or is the randomness linked to natural events (white noise or what ever) as many gaming sites?

Unless's software is crap, you're just noticing variance. If we had access to full hand histories that we could data-mine with tools like Poker Tracker and Hold'em Manager, then you'd be able to run your own hands and see how far they are off of expectation (of course, you would need a large sample size before the results would be usable; 100 or even 1000 instances won't cut it). Another reason to make full HH available!

JDA21 posted this 19 September 2015

I was playing earlier in a tourney and some guy was shoving preflop almost every hand. I finally picked up a hand and called him.

Hero-77 Villain-52 clubs

flop 355 turn 7 river 5

now that is bad beat!

extremesis posted this 4 weeks ago

I realize this thread is 3 years old but i will post my observations anyway.

It does seem to me that the river card seems to change the outcome of the hands more often then a truly randomized deck (I.e a physical deck of cards). Sometimes I win, sometimes i lose, but it does seem that the river decides a hand more often then it statistically should. The hand that is ahead after the turn seems to lose more often then when I play my home games or at the casino. Again, I have been on both sides, so i am not saying only bad things happen to me, i am just saying it changes the outcome more than it should, at least imo.

The other thing I have noticed is that the board seems to double pair alot more then it should. I played for maybe 90 minutes today and the board double paired 7 times, including back-to-back twice. I have been on the app for about a month, played 2000ish hands and it seems that it double pairs alot more often than it should. Again, maybe it is just a statistical anomaly and 2000 hands isnt a good sample size (some people have played 100,000+ hands) but in the games i play with a physical deck a double paired board is a rarity.

Just some observations. I am not complaining about winning or losing because i have been on both sides, but its more of just a comment on the randomness of the algorithm.